The New (Dis)Orders: Envisioning the Complex Futures of Geopolitics
The Global Governance Futures program explores potential geopolitical scenarios for 2030, focusing on global order, migration, and urban governance. It emphasizes strategic foresight to address future challenges and the role of emerging powers, particularly China and India.
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| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: | Global Governance Futures |
| Publication date: | May 2019 |
| Authors: | Ambre Eyoum, Carolina Costa, Cyril Prinsloo, Darshana M. Baruah, Hang Zhou, Liana Fix, Liana Lim Hinch, Wolfgang Reinicke, Yuho Nishimura, David Bargueño |
| Time horizon: | 2030 |
| Geographic focus: | Brazil, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Japan, South Africa, United States, Global |
Methods
The research method involved convening a diverse group of fellows who participated in dialogue sessions and utilized strategic foresight tools, including scenario planning and risk assessment, to develop scenarios addressing key global issues.
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Key Insights
The Global Governance Futures (GGF) program convened 27 young professionals from various countries to envision the geopolitical landscape of 2030. Over two years, they engaged in dialogue sessions across major cities, focusing on three key issues: the future of global order, migration and refugee challenges, and urban governance. Utilizing strategic foresight tools like scenario planning, the fellows developed scenarios to address potential governance challenges. The report outlines various scenarios, including a bipolar world led by China and the U.S., a grand development bargain in Africa, and increased militarization in the Indo-Pacific. The findings suggest that the decline of Western influence may lead to the rise of alternative governance models, particularly through China's initiatives. The report emphasizes the need for innovative policy responses to navigate these complex futures, highlighting the importance of collaboration among diverse stakeholders. The insights gained from meetings with policymakers and experts informed the scenarios, which aim to prepare for potential global governance challenges in the coming decade.
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Additional Viewpoints
Categories: 2030 time horizon | 2030s time horizon | Brazil geographic scope | China geographic scope | English publication language | France geographic scope | Germany geographic scope | Global geographic scope | India geographic scope | Indonesia geographic scope | Japan geographic scope | REPORT | • | MAY | 2019 publication year | South Africa geographic scope | United States geographic scope | africa’s development | china’s influence | geopolitical scenarios | global order | governance models | indo-pacific tensions | migration challenges | technology impact | u.s. decline | urban governance